Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.421920 1.641217 1.882567 2.167833 2.495769 2.860945 3.298481
2025-04-27 1.162668 1.460309 1.815705 2.271126 2.839186 3.524455 4.414265
2025-05-04 0.960817 1.298968 1.732404 2.328246 3.125965 4.157294 5.592900
2025-05-11 0.798879 1.153455 1.637630 2.346237 3.356608 4.745758 6.802588
2025-05-18 0.652851 1.000480 1.503133 2.281643 3.456630 5.164224 7.837113
2025-05-25 0.528957 0.855979 1.354204 2.166770 3.458362 5.432533 8.682922
2025-06-01 0.454930 0.773892 1.283676 2.155378 3.608197 5.933510 9.942861
2025-06-08 0.389298 0.693760 1.202530 2.111611 3.694850 6.339501 11.098695
2025-06-15 0.362729 0.674812 1.218223 2.229447 4.063495 7.250087 13.214892
2025-06-22 0.328069 0.635682 1.192558 2.269398 4.298715 7.957937 15.066545
2025-06-29 0.290372 0.584862 1.138083 2.247621 4.416034 8.466259 16.616495
2025-07-06 0.248473 0.519443 1.046884 2.142414 4.359424 8.642469 17.556683
2025-07-13 0.230025 0.499309 1.042618 2.211720 4.662320 9.560335 20.106607
2025-07-20 0.217340 0.489263 1.057257 2.321964 5.064545 10.728860 23.331089
2025-07-27 0.201353 0.469620 1.049206 2.383317 5.373439 11.748691 26.390476
2025-08-03 0.183821 0.443750 1.024025 2.403502 5.595831 12.615379 29.240733
2025-08-10 0.162258 0.405115 0.964928 2.338371 5.617607 13.048492 31.184306
2025-08-17 0.140199 0.361719 0.888524 2.221249 5.501432 13.154974 32.386794
2025-08-24 0.127408 0.339201 0.858112 2.209912 5.634961 13.852506 35.083650
2025-08-31 0.114262 0.313683 0.816725 2.165248 5.680110 14.345663 37.349485
2025-09-07 0.110972 0.313617 0.839045 2.286165 6.160101 15.958937 42.644157
2025-09-14 0.104014 0.302502 0.831327 2.327194 6.438555 17.104185 46.890562
2025-09-21 0.094959 0.284099 0.801708 2.304913 6.545175 17.822588 50.108267